Sunday, November 2, 2014

College Football Playoff Power Rankings - Week 10

Below are my thoughts on where the college football teams stand at the end of the games on 11/1 and what I think the final rankings will be.

Top 4 teams as of this week:     Remaining games:
1. Mississippi State 8-0             UT Martin, @ #6 Alabama, Vanderbilt & @ #4 Ole Miss
2. Florida State 8-0                    Virginia, @ Miami, Boston College & Florida
3. Alabama 7-1                          @ #19 LSU, #1 Mississippi St, W Carolina & #3 Auburn
4. Oregon 8-1                            @ #17 Utah, Colorado & @ Oregon St



Other teams in no order:            Remaining games:
Michigan State 7-1                    #16 Ohio St, @ Maryland, Rutgers & @ Penn St
Auburn 7-1                                Texas A&M, @ #11 Georgia, Samford & @ #6 Alabama
Notre Dame 7-1                        @ #14 Arizona St, Northwestern, #25 Louisville & @ USC
TCU 7-1                                    #9 Kansas St, @ Kansas, @ Texas & Iowa St
Kansas State 7-1                       @ #7 TCU, @ #20 West Virginia, Kansas & @ #13 Baylor
Baylor 7-1                                 @ #18 Oklahoma, Oklahoma St, Texas Tech & #9 Kansas St
Ohio State 7-1                           @ #8 Michigan St, @ Minnesota, Indiana & Michigan
Arizona State 7-1                      #10 Notre Dame, @ Oregon St, Washington St & @ #12 Arizona
Nebraska 8-1                             @ Wisconsin, Minnesota & @ Iowa

The SEC, ACC, Big 10 and PAC 12 all have conference championship games, right now these are the match-ups:

SEC - #1 Mississippi State vs Missouri
ACC - #2 Florida State vs #24 Duke
Big 10 - #8 Michigan State vs #15 Nebraska
Pac 12 - #5 Oregon vs #14 Arizona State

At this point it does not look like any team with two losses in the regular season will make the four team playoff.

Here is my projection of the 4 teams that will make the playoff at the end of the season.

#1 Florida State
#2 Alabama
#3 Oregon
#4 TCU
  • A one loss SEC West champion will get a spot even if they don't win the conference championship game.
  • An undefeated ACC team that wins the conference championship game will get a spot.
  • A one loss PAC 12 team that wins the the conference championship game will get a spot.
  • A one loss Big 12 champion will get a spot
  • A one loss Big 10 champion that wins the conference championship game will get a spot if one of the above do not happen. I expect a team, but no open spot.
  • A one loss SEC West team that does not play in the conference championship game will get a spot if two of the above do not happen. I expect a team, but no open spot.

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