Monday, November 10, 2014

College Football Playoff Power Rankings - Week 11

Below are my thoughts on where the college football teams stand at the end of the games on 11/8 and what I think the final rankings will be.

Top 4 teams as of this week:     Remaining games:
1. Mississippi State 9-0             @ #5 Alabama, Vanderbilt & @ #11 Ole Miss
2. Florida State 9-0                    @ Miami, Boston College & Florida
3. Alabama 8-1                          #1 Mississippi St, W Carolina & #3 Auburn
4. Oregon 9-1                            Colorado & @ Oregon St

Other teams in no order:            Remaining games:
TCU 8-1                                    @ Kansas, @ Texas & Iowa St
Baylor 8-1                                 Oklahoma St, Texas Tech & #7 Kansas St
Ohio State 8-1                           @ Minnesota, Indiana & Michigan
Arizona State 8-1                      @ Oregon St, Washington St & @ #19 Arizona
Nebraska 8-1                             @ #25 Wisconsin, Minnesota & @ Iowa



The SEC, ACC, Big 10 and PAC 12 all have conference championship games, right now these are the match-ups:

SEC - #1 Mississippi State vs Missouri
ACC - #2 Florida State vs #22 Duke
Big 10 - #14 Ohio State vs #13 Nebraska
PAC 12 - #4 Oregon vs #9 Arizona State

At this point it does not look like any team with two losses in the regular season will make the four team playoff. However it could get very interesting if the SEC West champion has has two losses at the end of the season, because there will be be at least four teams with one loss or less.

Here is my projection of the 4 teams that will make the playoff at the end of the season.

#1 Mississippi State
#2 Florida State
#3 Oregon
#4 TCU
  • A one loss SEC West champion will get a spot even if they don't win the conference championship game.
  • An undefeated ACC team that wins the conference championship game will get a spot.
  • A one loss PAC 12 team that wins the the conference championship game will get a spot.
  • A one loss Big 12 champion will get a spot. This could be interesting if both TCU and Baylor end with one loss as Baylor beat TCU at home by three points. 
  • A one loss Big 10 champion that wins the conference championship game will get a spot if one of the above do not happen. I expect a team, but no open spot.
  • A one loss SEC West team that does not play in the conference championship game will get a spot if two of the above do not happen. We will know after this weekends Mississippi State at Alabama game if this is possible. 

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